论文标题

大数据对信用评分的价值:使用手机数据和社交网络分析增强财务包容性

The Value of Big Data for Credit Scoring: Enhancing Financial Inclusion using Mobile Phone Data and Social Network Analytics

论文作者

Óskarsdóttir, María, Bravo, Cristián, Sarraute, Carlos, Vanthienen, Jan, Baesens, Bart

论文摘要

毫无疑问,信用评分是分析最古老的应用之一。近年来,已经开发了许多复杂的分类技术,以提高信用评分模型的统计性能。本文没有专注于技术本身,而是利用替代数据来源来增强统计和经济模型的性能。该研究表明,在正面信用信息的背景下,包括呼叫网络在内,新的大数据源通过采用利润指标和基于利润的功能选择而增加了利润的价值。数据集的独特组合,包括呼叫记录,信用和借记帐户信息的信息,用于为信用卡申请人创建记分卡。呼叫记录用于构建呼叫网络,并应用高级社交网络分析技术来传播整个网络中先前的违约者的影响,以产生影响力分数。结果表明,在AUC中衡量时,将呼叫记录与传统数据相结合可显着提高其性能。在利润方面,最佳模型是仅具有呼叫行为功能的模型。此外,在统计和经济绩效方面,呼叫行为特征在其他模型中都是最预测的。该结果在呼叫记录,监管含义,财务包容以及数据共享和隐私方面的道德使用方面具有影响。

Credit scoring is without a doubt one of the oldest applications of analytics. In recent years, a multitude of sophisticated classification techniques have been developed to improve the statistical performance of credit scoring models. Instead of focusing on the techniques themselves, this paper leverages alternative data sources to enhance both statistical and economic model performance. The study demonstrates how including call networks, in the context of positive credit information, as a new Big Data source has added value in terms of profit by applying a profit measure and profit-based feature selection. A unique combination of datasets, including call-detail records, credit and debit account information of customers is used to create scorecards for credit card applicants. Call-detail records are used to build call networks and advanced social network analytics techniques are applied to propagate influence from prior defaulters throughout the network to produce influence scores. The results show that combining call-detail records with traditional data in credit scoring models significantly increases their performance when measured in AUC. In terms of profit, the best model is the one built with only calling behavior features. In addition, the calling behavior features are the most predictive in other models, both in terms of statistical and economic performance. The results have an impact in terms of ethical use of call-detail records, regulatory implications, financial inclusion, as well as data sharing and privacy.

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