论文标题

复杂系统的隐藏脆弱性 - 变化的后果,改变后果

The Hidden Fragility of Complex Systems -- Consequences of Change, Changing Consequences

论文作者

Crutchfield, James P.

论文摘要

短期生存和建立我们未来的旺盛的生存正在产生一种新的意外后果 - 隐藏的脆弱性。这是人类创造的社会技术系统的复杂性和结构复杂性的直接效果。这是不可避免的。因此,挑战是,我们对这些系统以及导致其建设的社会动态有多大理解和预测?

Short-term survival and an exuberant plunge into building our future are generating a new kind of unintended consequence -- hidden fragility. This is a direct effect of the sophistication and structural complexity of the socio-technical systems humans create. It is inevitable. And so the challenge is, How much can we understand and predict about these systems and about the social dynamics that lead to their construction?

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