论文标题
关于意大利Covid-19的演变:后续注意
On the Evolution of Covid-19 in Italy: a Follow up Note
论文作者
论文摘要
在上一句话中,我们分析了意大利的共同疾病的传播。我们使用了基于逻辑和哈伯特功能的模型,我们利用的分析在预测方面显示出有限的有用性,并且无法固定诸如疾病生长的弯曲点之类的基本适应症。在本说明中,我们使用多逻辑模型详细阐述了先前的模型,并尝试进行更现实的分析。
In a previous note we made an analysis of the spreading of the COVID disease in Italy. We used a model based on the logistic and Hubbert functions, the analysis we exploited has shown limited usefulness in terms of predictions and failed in fixing fundamental indications like the point of inflection of the disease growth. In this note we elaborate on the previous model, using multi-logistic models and attempt a more realistic analysis.