论文标题

胶水生产的掩盖负载的概率分析

Probabilistic analysis of masked loads with aggregated photovoltaic production

论文作者

Liu, Shaohui, Maldonado, Daniel Adrian, Constantinescu, Emil M.

论文摘要

在本文中,我们提出了一个概率分析框架,以实时估计幕后光伏生成。我们开发了一个由时空随机过程组成的正向模型,该过程代表光伏生成和随机微分方程,其跳跃代表了需求。我们采用该模型使用净负载和辐照度测量来分解落后的光伏生成。

In this paper we present a probabilistic analysis framework to estimate behind-the-meter photovoltaic generation in real time. We develop a forward model consisting of a spatiotemporal stochastic process that represents the photovoltaic generation and a stochastic differential equation with jumps that represents the demand. We employ this model to disaggregate the behind-the-meter photovoltaic generation using net load and irradiance measurements.

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