论文标题
结果驱动的动态难民分配,分配平衡
Outcome-Driven Dynamic Refugee Assignment with Allocation Balancing
论文作者
论文摘要
这项研究提出了两种新的动态分配算法,以使难民和寻求庇护者与东道国的地理区域相匹配。目前在瑞士的多年随机控制试验中实施的第一个旨在通过最低限度 - 迪斯科德在线分配算法来最大化难民的平均就业水平(或任何感兴趣的结果衡量结果)。该算法的性能在美国和瑞士的真实难民安置数据上进行了测试,在那里我们发现它能够与最优于最佳的解决方案相比,能够实现近乎最佳的预期就业,并且能够改善现状Quo程序的40-50%。但是,随着时间的推移,纯粹的结果最大化可能导致对当地地区的定期分配,从而导致实施困难以及用于安置资源和代理的不良工作流程。为了解决这些问题,第二算法平衡了改善难民成果的目标,并希望随着时间的流逝进行均匀分配。我们发现,与就业最大化算法相比,该算法可以随着时间的推移达到接近完美的平衡,而预期就业的损失只有很小的损失。此外,与纯粹的结果最大化相比,分配平衡算法提供了许多辅助优势,包括对未知的到达流量的稳健性和更大的探索。
This study proposes two new dynamic assignment algorithms to match refugees and asylum seekers to geographic localities within a host country. The first, currently implemented in a multi-year randomized control trial in Switzerland, seeks to maximize the average predicted employment level (or any measured outcome of interest) of refugees through a minimum-discord online assignment algorithm. The performance of this algorithm is tested on real refugee resettlement data from both the US and Switzerland, where we find that it is able to achieve near-optimal expected employment compared to the hindsight-optimal solution, and is able to improve upon the status quo procedure by 40-50%. However, pure outcome maximization can result in a periodically imbalanced allocation to the localities over time, leading to implementation difficulties and an undesirable workflow for resettlement resources and agents. To address these problems, the second algorithm balances the goal of improving refugee outcomes with the desire for an even allocation over time. We find that this algorithm can achieve near-perfect balance over time with only a small loss in expected employment compared to the employment-maximizing algorithm. In addition, the allocation balancing algorithm offers a number of ancillary benefits compared to pure outcome maximization, including robustness to unknown arrival flows and greater exploration.