论文标题

在全球级别的航空传输连通性与共同案例之间的同步程度

On the degree of synchronization between air transport connectivity and COVID-19 cases at worldwide level

论文作者

Sun, Xiaoqian, Wandelt, Sebastian, Zhang, Anming

论文摘要

目前,Covid-19的爆发是航空运输中的前所未有的事件。虽然众所周知,空中运输在大流行的传播中起着关键作用,但大概是全球航空首次导致大流行的行星范围扩散,据报道有500,000多名与感染有关的伤亡。在这项研究中,我们对空中运输的作用以及在整个正在进行的大流行中如何改变空中运输系统的作用进行分析。主要决策者是国家(政府)和航空公司,主要参与旅行禁令的决策和实施。在这里,我们通过分析特定国家报告的案件数量以及这些国家如何/何时对航空运输行动做出反应,我们将重点关注国家的作用。我们的研究还提供了有关19009年大流行对航空公司的影响的全面经验分析。希望这项研究能够导致对对未来波浪或其他类型的大流行的预防和控制的新见解。

The current outbreak of COVID-19 is an unprecedented event in air transportation. While it was known that air transportation plays a key role in the spread of a pandemic, it is probably the first time that global aviation contributed to the planet-wide spread of a pandemic, with over 500,000 reported casualties related to the infection. In this study, we perform an analysis of the role air transportation played and how the air transportation system was changed throughout the ongoing pandemic. The major decision makers were countries (governments) and airlines, who were involved mostly in the decision and implementation of travel bans. Here, we focus on the role of countries, by analyzing the degree of synchronization between the number of cases reported in specific countries and how/when these countries reacted concerning the air transportation operations. Our study also provides a comprehensive empirical analysis on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on aviation at a country-level. It is hoped that the study can lead to novel insights into the prevention and control of future waves or pandemics of other types.

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