论文标题

概率合理性的佳能

A Canon of Probabilistic Rationality

论文作者

Cerreia-Vioglio, Simone, Lindberg, Per Olov, Maccheroni, Fabio, Marinacci, Massimo, Rustichini, Aldo

论文摘要

我们证明,随机选择规则在且仅当其支持是满足揭示的偏好弱公理时才满足Luce的选择公理,因此,它由根据某种偏好的最佳选择而组成,然后根据替代方案之间的平局进行随机选择,以满足Renyi的条件条件公理的折断。我们的结果表明,从精确的正式意义上讲,选择公理是弱公理的概率版本。因此,它支持了卢斯(Luce)对自己的公理的看法,作为“概率理性的典范”。

We prove that a random choice rule satisfies Luce's Choice Axiom if and only if its support is a choice correspondence that satisfies the Weak Axiom of Revealed Preference, thus it consists of alternatives that are optimal according to some preference, and random choice then occurs according to a tie breaking among such alternatives that satisfies Renyi's Conditioning Axiom. Our result shows that the Choice Axiom is, in a precise formal sense, a probabilistic version of the Weak Axiom. It thus supports Luce's view of his own axiom as a "canon of probabilistic rationality."

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