论文标题
COVID-19-19大流行严重性,锁定政权和人流动性:来自88个国家的早期证据
COVID-19 Pandemic Severity, Lockdown Regimes, and People Mobility: Early Evidence from 88 Countries
论文作者
论文摘要
这项研究通过经验研究了冠状病毒大流行的严重程度,零售和娱乐的流动性变化,过境站,工作场所和住宅区之间的复杂相互作用,以及该词的88个国家 /地区的锁定措施。为了进行这项研究,从多个来源(例如Google,UNDP,UN,UN,BBC,BBC,Oxford University,WorldMeter)收集了有关人的流动性模式,社会经济和人口统计学,锁定措施和冠状病毒大流行的数据。结构方程建模(SEM)技术用于研究独立变量对介体的介入效应的因变量的直接和间接影响。结果表明,锁定措施有重大影响,以鼓励人们保持社会疏远。但是,大流行的严重程度以及社会经济和制度因素对维持社会疏远的实践的影响有限。结果还解释了城市性和现代性的社会经济和制度因素对大流行严重程度有重大影响。老年人数量较高的国家,服务部门的就业和更高的全球化趋势是冠状病毒大流行病的最糟糕的受害者(例如,美国,英国,意大利和西班牙)。社会距离措施在缓解大流行的严重程度方面相当有效。
This study empirically investigates the complex interplay between the severity of the coronavirus pandemic, mobility changes in retail and recreation, transit stations, workplaces, and residential areas, and lockdown measures in 88 countries of the word. To conduct the study, data on mobility patterns, socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of people, lockdown measures, and coronavirus pandemic were collected from multiple sources (e.g., Google, UNDP, UN, BBC, Oxford University, Worldometer). A Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) technique is used to investigate the direct and indirect effects of independent variables on dependent variables considering the intervening effects of mediators. Results show that lockdown measures have significant effects to encourage people to maintain social distancing. However, pandemic severity and socioeconomic and institutional factors have limited effects to sustain social distancing practice. The results also explain that socioeconomic and institutional factors of urbanity and modernity have significant effects on pandemic severity. Countries with a higher number of elderly people, employment in the service sector, and higher globalization trend are the worst victims of the coronavirus pandemic (e.g., USA, UK, Italy, and Spain). Social distancing measures are reasonably effective at tempering the severity of the pandemic.