论文标题
关于预测过滤单元的经济观点
An Economic Perspective on Predictive Maintenance of Filtration Units
论文作者
论文摘要
本文提供了有关过滤单元预测维护的经济观点。由于工业4.0的增长趋势和廉价传感器的可用性,预测维护的兴起是可能的。但是,公司预测维护的采用率仍然很低。大多数公司都坚持纠正和预防性维护。这并不是由于缺乏有关预测维护的技术实施的信息,因此可以有效地使用有关最先进的机器学习算法的大量研究论文。主要问题是,大多数高层管理人员尚未完全相信预测维护的想法。实施的经济价值必须与预测维护计划有关,以通过管理层更好地理由。在这项研究中,对三个机器学习模型进行了培训,以证明预测性维护的经济价值。数据是从新加坡技术与设计大学的测试台收集的。测试床与现实世界的水处理厂相似。提出了与蒙特卡洛模拟结合的成本效益分析。它通过实施预测性维护计划提供了一种结构化方法来记录潜在成本和节省。模拟将现实世界的风险纳入财务模型。财务数字改编自基于膜的主要综合环境解决方案提供商Citic Envirotech Ltd。两种情况被用来详细说明预测维护的经济价值。总体而言,这项研究试图弥合预测维护的技术和业务领域之间的差距。
This paper provides an economic perspective on the predictive maintenance of filtration units. The rise of predictive maintenance is possible due to the growing trend of industry 4.0 and the availability of inexpensive sensors. However, the adoption rate for predictive maintenance by companies remains low. The majority of companies are sticking to corrective and preventive maintenance. This is not due to a lack of information on the technical implementation of predictive maintenance, with an abundance of research papers on state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms that can be used effectively. The main issue is that most upper management has not yet been fully convinced of the idea of predictive maintenance. The economic value of the implementation has to be linked to the predictive maintenance program for better justification by the management. In this study, three machine learning models were trained to demonstrate the economic value of predictive maintenance. Data was collected from a testbed located at the Singapore University of Technology and Design. The testbed closely resembles a real-world water treatment plant. A cost-benefit analysis coupled with Monte Carlo simulation was proposed. It provided a structured approach to document potential costs and savings by implementing a predictive maintenance program. The simulation incorporated real-world risk into a financial model. Financial figures were adapted from CITIC Envirotech Ltd, a leading membrane-based integrated environmental solutions provider. Two scenarios were used to elaborate on the economic values of predictive maintenance. Overall, this study seeks to bridge the gap between technical and business domains of predictive maintenance.