论文标题
对南美可再生能源的跨境电力互连的方案预测
Scenario Forecast of Cross-border Electric Interconnection towards Renewables in South America
论文作者
论文摘要
在联合国2030年可持续发展目标下，跨境电力互连是对电力部门的有前途解决方案，该目标在新兴经济体中得到了广泛促进。本文全面研究了南美可再生资源和跨境电力互连的艺术状态。根据从典型国家 /地区收集的原始数据，将长期的预测方法用于估计目标年份电部门的关键指标，将积极促进跨境互连（ITR）方面的跨境互连（ITR）方案与惯例（BAU）风景（BAU）风景进行比较。预测并在2035年和2050年之前对包括峰值负载，安装能力，投资和发电成本进行的关键指标进行了分析。比较数据分析表明，通过促进南美可再生能源的跨境互连，可以高度利用可再生资源，可以高度利用用于优化的能源Matrix，可以优化的平衡，可以优化的均可促进的成本，可以得到驱动的成本。
Cross-border Electric Interconnection towards renewables is a promising solution for electric sector under the UN 2030 sustainable development goals which is widely promoted in emerging economies. This paper comprehensively investigates state of art in renewable resources and cross-border electric interconnection in South America. Based on the raw data collected from typical countries, a long-term scenario forecast methodology is applied to estimate key indicators of electric sector in target years, comparing the prospects of active promoting cross-border Interconnections Towards Renewables (ITR) scenario with Business as Usual (BAU) scenario in South America region. Key indicators including peak load, installed capacity, investment, and generation cost are forecasted and comparative analyzed by year 2035 and 2050. The comparative data analysis shows that by promoting cross-border interconnection towards renewables in South America, renewable resources can be highly utilized for energy supply, energy matrix can be optimized balanced, economics can be obviously driven and generation cost can be greatly reduced.
