论文标题

在韩国首尔,运行COVID-19-19-MARATH:移动性和面部的行为改编27周

Running the COVID-19 marathon: the behavioral adaptations in mobility and facemask over 27 weeks of pandemic in Seoul, South Korea

论文作者

Cho, Jungwoo, Shin, Yuyol, Kim, Seyun, Kim, Namwoo, Oh, Soohwan, Cho, Haechan, Yoon, Yoonjin

论文摘要

事实证明,与Covid-19的战斗是一场马拉松比赛,而不是冲刺,而行为调整是不可避免的。在本文中,我们采用以数据为中心的方法来研究韩国首尔的个人移动适应和戴口罩。我们首先基于COVID-19案例计数及其地理空间分散体确定六个流行阶段和两个波。特定相位的线性模型揭示了第一次升级的强大,自动驱动的移动性降低,并以普遍的重点关注公共交通和不必要的周末/下午旅行。然而,第二波不存在可比的降低,因为从移动性转移到戴面膜的焦点是明显的。尽管没有锁定和轻柔的戴面具的封锁似乎是违反直觉的,但对人身安全的简单和持久沟通是有效且可持续的,可以引起合作的行为适应。我们的阶段特异性分析和解释强调了针对性反应与波动流行风险一致的重要性。

Battle with COVID-19 turned out to be a marathon, not a sprint, and behavioral adjustments have been unavoidable to stay viable. In this paper, we employ a data-centric approach to investigate individual mobility adaptations and mask-wearing in Seoul, South Korea. We first identify six epidemic phases and two waves based on COVID-19 case count and its geospatial dispersion. The phase-specific linear models reveal the strong, self-driven mobility reductions in the first escalation and peak with a common focus on public transit use and less-essential weekend/afternoon trips. However, comparable reduction was not present in the second wave, as the shifted focus from mobility to mask-wearing was evident. Although no lockdowns and gentle nudge to wear mask seemed counter-intuitive, simple and persistent communication on personal safety has been effective and sustainable to induce cooperative behavioral adaptations. Our phase-specific analyses and interpretation highlight the importance of targeted response consistent with the fluctuating epidemic risk.

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