论文标题
空气与城市旅行之间的相关性与新确认的Covid-19案例研究的相关性
Correlation between Air and Urban Travelling with New Confirmed Cases of COVID-19 A Case Study
论文作者
论文摘要
从2020年2月19日开始在伊朗传播的Covid-19已感染了202,584人，并杀死了9,507人，直到2020年6月20日。在这项研究中，已证明了城市之间的旅行与新确认的伊朗Covid案例之间的相关性。研究中使用的数据包括日常的州际交通，空中交通数据和每日新的Covid-19确认案例。数据用于训练回归模型，并使用投票显示城市与新案例之间的旅行之间的最高相关性。尽管可用的数据非常粗糙，并且没有城市内通勤的细节，但是达到81％的准确性，显示了州际旅行的数量与COVID-19的新案例之间存在正相关。因此，结果表明，避免病毒传播的最佳方法之一是限制或消除周围的旅行。
COVID-19 which has spread in Iran from February 19, 2020, has infected 202,584 people and killed 9,507 people until June 20, 2020. The immediate suggested solution to prevent the spread of this virus was to avoid traveling around. In this study, the correlation between traveling between cities with new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Iran is demonstrated. The data, used in the study, consisted of the daily inter-state traffic, air traffic data, and daily new COVID-19 confirmed cases. The data is used to train a regression model and voting was used to show the highest correlation between travels made between cities and new cases of COVID-19. Although the available data was very coarse and there was no detail of inner-city commute, an accuracy of 81% was achieved showing a positive correlation between the number of inter-state travels and the new cases of COVID-19. Consequently, the result suggests that one of the best ways to avoid the spread of the virus is limiting or eliminating traveling around.
