论文标题
使用模糊逻辑研究可再生能源在不确定性下的综合能量水联系计划中的作用
Investigating the Role of Renewable Energies in Integrated Energy-water Nexus Planning under Uncertainty Using Fuzzy Logic
论文作者
论文摘要
能源和水系统高度相互联系。需要能量来提取,传输和处理水和废水,并且冷却能量系统需要水。由于人口和经济增长等因素,对能源和水的需求迅速增加。在不到30年的时间里,对能源和水的需求在全球范围内几乎翻一番。由于能源和水资源有限,至关重要的是拥有一个可持续的能量水联系框架以满足这些不断增长的需求。可再生能源通过提高能源,水的可靠性和可持续性为能量水神经提供了大量机会,并且与传统技术相比,水量较低。这些资源(例如风能和太阳能)不需要水投入。结果,它们可以用作能量 - 水的Nexus投资组合的补充。在本文中,已经研究了一系列可能的情况。由于可再生能源不是确定性的,因此使用模糊逻辑来建模不确定性。结果表明,可再生能源可以显着改善能量水的联系计划。但是,可再生能源的功率网格可靠性应与系统不确定性水平保持一致。从模糊模型中提取的决策与确定性模型之间的差距放大了考虑不确定性生成可靠决策的重要性。关键字:能量水连接,可再生能源,不确定性下的优化,模糊逻辑。
Energy and water systems are highly interconnected. Energy is required to extract, transmit, and treat water and wastewater, and water is needed for cooling energy systems. There is a rapid increase in demand for energy and water due to factors such as population and economic growth. In less than 30 years, the need for energy and water will nearly double globally. As the energy and water resources are limited, it is critical to have a sustainable energy-water nexus framework to meet these growing demands. Renewable energies provide substantial opportunities in energy-water nexuses by boosting energy and water reliability and sustainability and can be less water-intensive than conventional technologies. These resources, such as wind and solar power, do not need water inputs. As a result, they can be used as a supplement to the energy-water nexus portfolio. In this paper, renewable energies in energy-water nexus have been investigated for a range of possible scenarios. As renewable energy resources are not deterministic, fuzzy logic is used to model the uncertainty. The results show that renewable energies can significantly improve the energy-water nexus planning; however, the power grid reliability on renewable energy should be aligned with the level of systems uncertainty. The gap between the decisions extracted from the Fuzzy model and the deterministic model amplifies the importance of considering uncertainty to generate reliable decisions. Keywords: Energy-water Nexus, Renewable Energies, Optimization under Uncertainty, Fuzzy Logic.