论文标题
在不列颠哥伦比亚省的2016年10月的“ Meteotsunami”重新分析,并在高频雷达和自回旋建模的帮助下进行
A Reanalysis of the October 2016 "Meteotsunami" in British Columbia with Help of High-Frequency Radars and Autoregressive Modeling
论文作者
论文摘要
2016年10月14日,托菲诺(Tofino)站(加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省)发布了有史以来第一个实时的海啸警报,该警报是基于鉴定异常表面电流模式的沿海高频雷达系统触发的。检测发生在没有任何报道的地震事件的情况下,但与强烈的大气扰动相吻合,这将事件符合Meteo-Tsunami的资格。我们根据一种新的雷达信号处理方法重新分析了这种情况,该方法最近设计用于颠倒从天线上接收到的复杂电压时间序列的快速变化的海面电流。该方法基于自动回归建模与最大熵方法相结合,在非常短的集成时间内,信噪比和表面电流估计的质量都可以显着改善。这可以证明事件期间表面电流的尖锐波面的传播,并绘制其在雷达覆盖率上的大小和到达时间。我们表明,推断的残留电流的幅度和速度不符合骄傲的人共振机制,但与卫星图像所揭示的低压大气前部和风向量的传播一致。这表明触发海啸警报的事件比真正的Meteo-Tsunami更可能是风暴潮。除了这种特定情况之外,分析的另一个结果是有望使用海洋雷达作为代理大气前沿的表征。
On October 14th, 2016, the station of Tofino (British Columbia, Canada) issued the first ever real-time tsunami alert triggered by a coastal High-Frequency Radar system, based on the identification of abnormal surface current patterns. The detection occurred in the absence of any reported seismic event but coincided with a strong atmospheric perturbation, which qualified the event as meteo-tsunami. We re-analyze this case in the light of a new radar signal processing method which was designed recently for inverting fast-varying sea surface currents from the complex voltage time series received on the antennas. This method, based on an Auto-regressive modeling combined with a Maximum Entropy Method, yields a dramatic improvement in both the Signal-to-Noise Ratio and the quality of the surface current estimation for very short integration time. This makes it possible to evidence the propagation of a sharp wave front of surface current during the event and to map its magnitude and arrival time over the radar coverage. We show that the amplitude and speed of the inferred residual current do not comply with a Proudman resonance mechanism but are consistent with the propagation of a low-pressure atmospheric front and wind vectors as revealed by satellite imagery. This indicates that the event that triggered a tsunami alert is more likely a storm surge than a true meteo-tsunami. Beyond this specific case, another outcome of the analysis is the promising use of oceanographic radars as proxy's for the characterization of atmospheric fronts.