论文标题
国家重新开放政策在COVID-19死亡率中的影响
Influence of State Reopening Policies in COVID-19 Mortality
论文作者
论文摘要
到2020年5月底，美国的所有州都已简化了199条缓解措施。不同的国家采取了明显不同的政策和重新开放的时间。一个重要的问题仍然存在于缓解措施的放松与伤亡人数有关。为了解决这个问题，我们将实际数据与假设情况进行比较，在这种情况下，使用在缓解措施之前的数据投影完好无损地进行缓解措施。我们发现，不同的州在死亡人数上显示出显着差异，这可能是由于其不同的政策和重新开放的时间表所致。我们的研究为不同州政府的方法提供了衡量方法，并可以作为实施最佳政策的指南。这也表明，面膜授权似乎比其他措施更为明显地与死亡计数的变化相关。
By the end of May 2020, all states in the US have eased their COVID-19 mitigation measures. Different states adopted markedly different policies and timing for reopening. An important question remains in how the relaxation of mitigation measures is related to the number of casualties. To address this question, we compare the actual data to a hypothetical case in which the mitigation measures are left intact using a projection of the data from before mitigation measures were eased. We find that different states have shown significant differences in the number of deaths, possibly due to their different policies and reopening schedules. Our study provides a gauge for the effectiveness of the approaches by different state governments and can serve as a guide for implementing best policies in the future. It also indicates that the face mask mandate seems to correlate with the change in the death count more dramatically than other measures.
