论文标题
比哈尔大会选举2020：分析
Bihar Assembly Elections 2020: An Analysis
论文作者
论文摘要
我们分析了2020年比哈尔邦议会选举，发现贫困是女性选民作为决定因素的关键驱动因素。结果表明，穷人更有可能支持NDA。由于穷人是最难的打击，因此该结果与在大流行中举行的选举的相关性至关重要。其次，与传统评论相反，经验结果表明，Aimim因子和LJP因子在这些选举中的存在中受益于MGB，在受益于MGB的同时伤害了NDA。本文的方法论新颖性是将选举数据与财富指数数据相结合，以研究贫困对选举结果的影响。
We analyse the Bihar assembly elections of 2020, and find that poverty was the key driving factor, over and above female voters as determinants. The results show that the poor were more likely to support the NDA. The relevance of this result for an election held in the midst of a pandemic, is very crucial, given that the poor were the hardest hit. Secondly, in contrast to conventional commentary, the empirical results show that the AIMIM-factor and the LJP-factor hurt the NDA while benefitting the MGB, with their presence in these elections. The methodological novelty in this paper is combining elections data with wealth index data to study the effect of poverty on elections outcomes.
