论文标题
独裁主义在民主国家的遗产
The Legacy of Authoritarianism in a Democracy
论文作者
论文摘要
最近，全世界民主的后滑行和威权政权的崛起重新点燃了理解这种专制统治在民主国家的原因和后果的兴趣。在本文中，我研究了世界上最大的民主中威权主义的长期政治后果。利用1970年代在印度施加的威权统治的意外时机，并使用差异（DID），三重差异（DDD）和回归不连续性设计（RDD）估计方法的差异，我记录了当时的主体现任者，印度国民大会在随后的几年中的政治统治地位的急剧下降。我还提供了证据表明，政治统治地位的下降并不是以较低的选民投票率为代价。取而代之的是，随后几年中争夺选举的反对派候选人的数量急剧上升。最后，我研究了持久的后果，揭示了对严厉政策高的州对政客的信心仍然很低。
Recent democratic backsliding and the rise of authoritarian regimes worldwide have rekindled interest in understanding the causes and consequences of such authoritarian rule in democracies. In this paper, I study the long-run political consequences of authoritarianism in the world's largest democracy. Exploiting the unexpected timing of the authoritarian rule imposed in India in the 1970s and using a difference-in-difference (DID), triple difference (DDD), and a regression discontinuity design (RDD) estimation approach, I document a sharp decline in the then-dominant incumbent, the Indian National Congress party's political dominance in subsequent years. I also present evidence that the decline in political dominance was not at the expense of a lower voter turnout rate. Instead, a sharp rise in the number of opposition candidates contesting elections in subsequent years played an important role. Finally, I examine the enduring consequences, revealing that confidence in politicians remains low in states where the draconian policy was high.
