论文标题
低碳能源系统的回收价值 - 对德国能量转变的案例研究
The Value of Recycling for Low-Carbon Energy Systems -- a Case Study of Germany's Energy Transition
论文作者
论文摘要
为了达到气候中立,必须加强循环经济与减少温室气体排放之间的协同作用。以前的闲置降低资源效率潜力将被利用。由于所有潜在可能的减排措施都通过相互作用联系在一起,因此对单个措施的评估在成本效率,有效性和遵守气候保护目标方面非常复杂,并且需要基于模型的分析,该分析将整个能源系统考虑到了。这项工作推动了德国的能源系统模型,因此,通过对工业流程的全面建模和回收选择的实施,可以分析在国家温室缓解策略的背景下进行回收措施的影响。方案评估表明,不同的回收策略对德国能源系统具有很大影响。与参考方案相比,2050年不回收能源需求将增加300多个TWH,转型成本将增加85%。另一方面,如果可以达到最大的回收率,则可以将转型成本降低26%,直到2050年。回收是一种必不可少的,成本效益的温室气体气体降低策略,用于未来的低碳能源系统设计。
To achieve climate neutrality, synergies between circular economy and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions must be strengthened. Previously idle emission reduction potentials of resource efficiency are to be exploited. Since all potentially possible emission reduction measures are linked by interactions, the evaluation of a single measure in terms of cost efficiency, effectiveness, and compliance with climate protection targets is very complex and requires a model-based analysis that takes the entire energy system into account. This work advances an energy system model for Germany so that through comprehensive modeling of industrial processes and implementation of recycling options, the impact of recycling measures in the context of national greenhouse gas mitigation strategies can be analyzed. The scenario evaluation shows that different recycling strategies have large effects on the German energy system. Without recycling energy demand in 2050 will increase by more than 300 TWh and cost of transformation will rise by 85% compared to a reference scenario. On the other hand, if maximum recycling rates can be achieved, costs of transformation can be reduced by 26% until 2050. Recycling is an essential and cost-efficient greenhouse gas reduction strategy for future low-carbon energy system designs.