论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Optimal Learning

论文作者

Binev, Peter, Bonito, Andrea, DeVore, Ronald, Petrova, Guergana

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

This paper studies the problem of learning an unknown function $f$ from given data about $f$. The learning problem is to give an approximation $\hat f$ to $f$ that predicts the values of $f$ away from the data. There are numerous settings for this learning problem depending on (i) what additional information we have about $f$ (known as a model class assumption), (ii) how we measure the accuracy of how well $\hat f$ predicts $f$, (iii) what is known about the data and data sites, (iv) whether the data observations are polluted by noise. A mathematical description of the optimal performance possible (the smallest possible error of recovery) is known in the presence of a model class assumption. Under standard model class assumptions, it is shown in this paper that a near optimal $\hat f$ can be found by solving a certain discrete over-parameterized optimization problem with a penalty term. Here, near optimal means that the error is bounded by a fixed constant times the optimal error. This explains the advantage of over-parameterization which is commonly used in modern machine learning. The main results of this paper prove that over-parameterized learning with an appropriate loss function gives a near optimal approximation $\hat f$ of the function $f$ from which the data is collected. Quantitative bounds are given for how much over-parameterization needs to be employed and how the penalization needs to be scaled in order to guarantee a near optimal recovery of $f$. An extension of these results to the case where the data is polluted by additive deterministic noise is also given.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源