论文标题
结构工程的因果关系,因果发现和因果推断
Causality, Causal Discovery, and Causal Inference in Structural Engineering
论文作者
论文摘要
我们的许多实验旨在揭示数据生成机制(即现象)背后的原因和效果。我们碰巧对我们感兴趣。发现这种关系使我们能够确定现象的真实工作,最重要的是,最重要的是,可以使我们能够进一步探索我们的手工和/或允许我们准确地探索它的现象。从根本上讲,这种模型可能是通过因果方法来得出的(与观察或经验平均值相对)。在这种方法中,创建因果模型需要因果发现,然后将其应用于推断干预措施的影响,并回答我们可能拥有的任何假设问题(即以什么IFS的形式?)。本文为因果发现和因果推断提供了一个案例,并与传统的机器学习方法进行了对比。都是从民事和结构工程的角度来看。更具体地说,本文概述了因果关系的关键原理以及因果发现和因果推断的最常用算法和包装。最后,本文还提供了一系列示例和案例研究,介绍了如何为我们的领域采用因果概念。
Much of our experiments are designed to uncover the cause(s) and effect(s) behind a data generating mechanism (i.e., phenomenon) we happen to be interested in. Uncovering such relationships allows us to identify the true working of a phenomenon and, most importantly, articulate a model that may enable us to further explore the phenomenon on hand and/or allow us to predict it accurately. Fundamentally, such models are likely to be derived via a causal approach (as opposed to an observational or empirical mean). In this approach, causal discovery is required to create a causal model, which can then be applied to infer the influence of interventions, and answer any hypothetical questions (i.e., in the form of What ifs? Etc.) that we might have. This paper builds a case for causal discovery and causal inference and contrasts that against traditional machine learning approaches; all from a civil and structural engineering perspective. More specifically, this paper outlines the key principles of causality and the most commonly used algorithms and packages for causal discovery and causal inference. Finally, this paper also presents a series of examples and case studies of how causal concepts can be adopted for our domain.