论文标题
针对高维不确定性的测试:对具有深层采样的自动驾驶汽车的评估
Test Against High-Dimensional Uncertainties: Accelerated Evaluation of Autonomous Vehicles with Deep Importance Sampling
论文作者
论文摘要
在自然主义情况下,评估自动驾驶汽车及其复杂子系统的性能及其复杂的子系统仍然是一个挑战,尤其是在罕见的失败或危险情况下。稀有性不仅需要一种天真的方法来实现高置信度估计的巨大样本量,而且还会引起对真实故障率的危险低估,并且很难检测到。同时,具有正确性保证的最新方法只能计算在某些条件下的故障率的上限,这可能会限制其实际用途。在这项工作中,我们提出了深层的采样(深度IS)框架,该框架利用深神网络来获得有效的效率,与最先进的框架相当,能够减少所需的样本量的43倍以比NAIVE采样方法小43倍以达到10%的相对误差,同时产生的估算值却少得多。我们的高维实验估计了最先进的交通标志分类器之一的错误分类率进一步表明,即使目标很小,这种效率仍然是正确的,实现了超过600倍的效率提高。这突出了深层的潜力,即使针对高维不确定性也提供了精确的估计。
Evaluating the performance of autonomous vehicles (AV) and their complex subsystems to high precision under naturalistic circumstances remains a challenge, especially when failure or dangerous cases are rare. Rarity does not only require an enormous sample size for a naive method to achieve high confidence estimation, but it also causes dangerous underestimation of the true failure rate and it is extremely hard to detect. Meanwhile, the state-of-the-art approach that comes with a correctness guarantee can only compute an upper bound for the failure rate under certain conditions, which could limit its practical uses. In this work, we present Deep Importance Sampling (Deep IS) framework that utilizes a deep neural network to obtain an efficient IS that is on par with the state-of-the-art, capable of reducing the required sample size 43 times smaller than the naive sampling method to achieve 10% relative error and while producing an estimate that is much less conservative. Our high-dimensional experiment estimating the misclassification rate of one of the state-of-the-art traffic sign classifiers further reveals that this efficiency still holds true even when the target is very small, achieving over 600 times efficiency boost. This highlights the potential of Deep IS in providing a precise estimate even against high-dimensional uncertainties.