论文标题
地球季节性氢化气候的特征:跨越吉格气候和整个大陆的特征和比较
Features of the Earth's seasonal hydroclimate: Characterizations and comparisons across the Koppen-Geiger climates and across continents
论文作者
论文摘要
跨气候,大陆和可变类型的时间序列特征的详细研究可以提高我们对地球气候及其动态的理解和建模能力。他们还可以提高我们对核心中出现的气候分类系统的理解。尽管如此,文献目前仍缺少这种对季节性氢化性时间依赖性,可变性和变化的调查。本文中,我们在全球范围内提出并应用一个方法学框架,以填补这一特定差距。我们分析了超过13000个地球观察到的季度温度,降水和河流流动时间序列。我们采用Koppen-Geiger气候分类系统,并定义大陆规模的地理区域,以对其进行季节性水下气候特征摘要。分析依赖于三个样本自相关功能,时间变化功能,光谱熵功能,赫斯特功能,趋势强度特征和季节性强度特征。我们发现明显的差异可以表征这些特征在各种Koppen-Geiger气候类别以及大陆规模地理区域之间的幅度。因此,我们认为对比较摘要的考虑在水资源工程环境中可能是有益的。最后,我们采用可解释的机器学习来比较研究的特征与它们在区分主要的Koppen-Geiger气候或大陆尺度区域方面的信息。在这方面,发现样品自相关,时间变化和季节性强度特征比季节性时间尺度上的光谱熵,赫斯特和趋势强度特征更有信息。
Detailed investigations of time series features across climates, continents and variable types can progress our understanding and modelling ability of the Earth's hydroclimate and its dynamics. They can also improve our comprehension of the climate classification systems appearing in their core. Still, such investigations for seasonal hydroclimatic temporal dependence, variability and change are currently missing from the literature. Herein, we propose and apply at the global scale a methodological framework for filling this specific gap. We analyse over 13 000 earth-observed quarterly temperature, precipitation and river flow time series. We adopt the Koppen-Geiger climate classification system and define continental-scale geographical regions for conducting upon them seasonal hydroclimatic feature summaries. The analyses rely on three sample autocorrelation features, a temporal variation feature, a spectral entropy feature, a Hurst feature, a trend strength feature and a seasonality strength feature. We find notable differences to characterize the magnitudes of these features across the various Koppen-Geiger climate classes, as well as between continental-scale geographical regions. We, therefore, deem that the consideration of the comparative summaries could be beneficial in water resources engineering contexts. Lastly, we apply explainable machine learning to compare the investigated features with respect to how informative they are in distinguishing either the main Koppen-Geiger climates or the continental-scale regions. In this regard, the sample autocorrelation, temporal variation and seasonality strength features are found to be more informative than the spectral entropy, Hurst and trend strength features at the seasonal time scale.