论文标题

参与者的异质性并解释了网络模型中的差异 - 通过变异近似的可扩展方法

Actor Heterogeneity and Explained Variance in Network Models -- A Scalable Approach through Variational Approximations

论文作者

Klein, Nadja, Kauermann, Göran

论文摘要

近年来,网络数据的分析引起了人们的极大兴趣。这还包括分析具有数千个节点的大型高维网络。虽然指数随机图模型是用于网络数据分析的工作马,但由于缩放和不稳定性问题,它们对非常大网络的适用性是有问题的。后者从经典网络统计数据将节点视为可交换的事实,即网络中的参与者被认为是均匀的。这通常值得怀疑。规避限制性假设的一种方法是包括特定于参与者的随机效应,这些效应解释了不可观察的异质性。但是,这大大增加了未知数的数量,从而使模型高度参数化。作为一个解决方案,即使对于非常大的网络,我们也提出了一种基于变化近似值的可扩展方法,这不仅会导致数值稳定的估计,而且还适用于高维指导和未指向的网络。我们此外表明,包括节点特异性的协变量可以减少节点异质性,我们通过多功能的先验配方和一种新的措施来促进,我们称之为后验解释的方差。我们在三个不同的例子中说明了我们的方法,涵盖了意大利议会,国际武器贸易和Facebook的网络数据;并进行详细的模拟研究。

The analysis of network data has gained considerable interest in recent years. This also includes the analysis of large, high-dimensional networks with hundreds and thousands of nodes. While exponential random graph models serve as workhorse for network data analyses, their applicability to very large networks is problematic via classical inference such as maximum likelihood or exact Bayesian estimation owing to scaling and instability issues. The latter trace from the fact that classical network statistics consider nodes as exchangeable, i.e., actors in the network are assumed to be homogeneous. This is often questionable. One way to circumvent the restrictive assumption is to include actor-specific random effects, which account for unobservable heterogeneity. However, this increases the number of unknowns considerably, thus making the model highly-parameterized. As a solution even for very large networks, we propose a scalable approach based on variational approximations, which not only leads to numerically stable estimation but is also applicable to high-dimensional directed as well as undirected networks. We furthermore demonstrate that including node-specific covariates can reduce node heterogeneity, which we facilitate through versatile prior formulations and a new measure that we call posterior explained variance. We illustrate our approach in three diverse examples, covering network data from the Italian Parliament, international arms trading, and Facebook; and conduct detailed simulation studies.

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