论文标题
带丽莎的环形系外行星的贝叶斯表征
Bayesian Characterisation of Circumbinary Exoplanets with LISA
论文作者
论文摘要
激光干涉仪空间天线(LISA)将检测并表征$ \ sim10^4 $银河二进制文件,主要由两个白色矮人(WD)组成。该人群中的一个有趣的前景是第三个物体 - 另一个WD恒星,环形外球星(CBP)或棕色矮人(BD) - 在内部WD对的轨道上。我们介绍了带有LISA的子固有物体的第一个完全贝叶斯检测和后验分析,重点是CBP的表征。我们使用了这些CBP第三体源的乐观的天体动机目录,包括首次在内部二进制的轨道偏心率。我们检查了贝叶斯证据计算的可检测性,以及对内部二进制参数和第三体参数的后验分布的影响。我们发现后验行为基于第三体时期的观察时间高于还是低于一半。此外,我们发现不可检测的第三体源可以偏向内部二进制参数,无论是否使用正确的模板。我们使用了从CBP人群研究中检索到的信息来对原始目录中可检测的BD系统数量进行初始保守预测。我们以预测对丽莎全球拟合和银河二元人群分析的定性影响的评论结尾。这项工作中使用的程序是通用的,可以直接应用于银河二元人群中预期的其他天体物理效应。
The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will detect and characterize $\sim10^4$ Galactic Binaries consisting predominantly of two White Dwarfs (WD). An interesting prospect within this population is a third object--another WD star, a Circumbinary Exoplanet (CBP), or a Brown Dwarf (BD)--in orbit about the inner WD pair. We present the first fully Bayesian detection and posterior analysis of sub-stellar objects with LISA, focusing on the characterization of CBPs. We used an optimistic astrophysically motivated catalogue of these CBP third-body sources, including their orbital eccentricity around the inner binary for the first time. We examined Bayesian Evidence computations for detectability, as well as the effects on the posterior distributions for both the inner binary parameters and the third-body parameters. We find that the posterior behavior bifurcates based on whether the third-body period is above or below half the observation time. Additionally, we find that undetectable third-body sources can bias the inner binary parameters whether or not the correct template is used. We used the information retrieved from the study of the CBP population to make an initial conservative prediction for the number of detectable BD systems in the original catalogue. We end with commentary on the predicted qualitative effects on LISA global fitting and Galactic Binary population analysis. The procedure used in this work is generic and can be directly applied to other astrophysical effects expected within the Galactic Binary population.