论文标题
非强制性和强制性COVID-19干预措施对离家旅行距离和时间的影响:2021年的挪威案件
Effects of Non-Compulsory and Mandatory COVID-19 Interventions on Travel Distance and Time Away from Home: The Case of Norway in 2021
论文作者
论文摘要
背景:由于Covid-19非药物干预措施(NPI)的社会,经济和健康成本,评估其影响很重要。人类流动性是人类接触和遵守NPI的代孕。在北欧国家,NPI大多被告知,有时是强制性的。目前尚不清楚NPI是否会进一步降低移动性。 目的:我们调查了主要城市和农村地区非强制性和后续措施对挪威人类流动性的影响。我们确定了最影响移动性的NPI类别。 方法:我们使用了来自挪威最大运营商的手机移动性数据。我们通过前后和合成差异方法的方法分析了非强制性和强制性措施。通过回归,我们研究了不同NPI对迁移率的影响。 结果:在全国和人口较少的地区,随访的强制性措施进一步减少了时间,但距离没有传播。然而,在城市地区,随访规定也减少了距离,其影响超过了初始非强制性措施的效果。更严格的仪表规则,健身房关闭和重新开放,对房屋客人的限制以及面罩建议最受影响的距离。旅行的时间最大,受体育馆关闭,餐馆和商店重新开放的影响。 结论:总体而言,非强制性措施似乎降低了与家的距离,而授权进一步降低了城市地区的指标。与所有区域和干预措施的非强制性措施相比,授权的时间降低的时间更多。更严格的距离和限制数量的客人与移动性降低有关。
Background: Due to the societal, economic, and health costs of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), it is important to assess their effects. Human mobility serves as a surrogate for human contacts and compliance to NPIs. In Nordic countries, NPIs have mostly been advised and sometimes made mandatory. It is unclear if making NPIs mandatory further reduced mobility. Aim: We investigated the effect of non-compulsory and follow-up mandatory measures in major cities and rural regions on human mobility in Norway. We identified NPI categories that most affected mobility. Methods: We used mobile phone mobility data from the largest Norwegian operator. We analysed non-compulsory and mandatory measures with before-after and synthetic difference-in-differences approaches. By regression, we investigated the impact of different NPIs on mobility. Results: Nationally and in less populated regions, follow-up mandatory measures further decreased time, but not distance travelled. In urban areas, however, follow-up mandates also decreased distance, and the effect exceeded that of initial non-compulsory measures. Stricter metre rules, gyms closing and reopening, restrictions on guests in homes, and face mask recommendations most impacted distance travelled. Time travelled was most affected by gyms closing and restaurants and shops reopening. Conclusion: Overall, non-compulsory measures appeared to decrease distance travelled from home, while mandates further decreased this metric in urban areas. Time travelled is reduced more by mandates than by non-compulsory measures for all regions and interventions. Stricter distancing and restricted number of guests were associated with decreases in mobility.