论文标题

Markov超级极光电流指数的属性

Markov property of the Super-MAG Auroral Electrojet Indices

论文作者

Benella, Simone, Consolini, Giuseppe, Stumpo, Mirko, Alberti, Tommaso, Gjerloev, Jesper W.

论文摘要

地球磁层的动力学表现出强烈波动的模式以及非平稳性和非线性相互作用,在磁层的替代物和磁性风暴期间更为明显。这种复杂的动力学包括在不同时间尺度上发生的随机和确定性特征。在这里,我们通过分析Supermag SME和SML地磁指数的马尔可夫特征来研究磁层实量动力学的随机性质。通过执行Chapman-Kolmogorov测试,SME/SML动力学似乎在60分钟以下的尺度上满足了Markov条件。 Kramers-Moyal分析强调,纯粹的扩散过程并不代表磁层动力学,因此使用包括扩散和泊松式的过程的模型用于在小尺度上重现SME动力学特征。对该模型和中小型企业性质之间的相似性和差异进行了讨论,并特别强调了地球磁层动力学的亚稳定性。最后,我们还解决了我们在太空天气框架中的相关性。

The dynamics of the Earth's magnetosphere exhibits strongly fluctuating patterns as well as non-stationary and non-linear interactions, more pronounced during magnetospheric substorms and magnetic storms. This complex dynamics comprises both stochastic and deterministic features occurring at different time scales. Here we investigate the stochastic nature of the magnetospheric substorm dynamics by analysing the Markovian character of SuperMAG SME and SML geomagnetic indices. By performing the Chapman-Kolmogorov test, the SME/SML dynamics appears to satisfy the Markov condition at scales below 60 minutes. The Kramers-Moyal analysis instead highlights that a purely diffusive process is not representative of the magnetospheric dynamics, thus a model that includes both diffusion and Poisson-jump processes is used to reproduce the SME dynamical features at small scales. A discussion of the similarities and differences between this model and the SME properties is provided with a special emphasis on the metastability of the Earth's magnetospheric dynamics. Finally, the relevance of our results in the framework of Space Weather is also addressed.

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