论文标题

加利福尼亚地震的目录包括余震,包含有关未来大地震的信息吗?

Does the Catalog of California Earthquakes, with Aftershocks Included, Contain Information about Future Large Earthquakes?

论文作者

Rundle, John B., Donnellan, Andrea, Fox, Geoffrey, Ludwig, Lisa Grant, Crutchfield, James

论文摘要

是的。间隔统计已被用来得出结论,即主要地震是随着时间的时间随机事件,无法预料或预测。机器学习是一种强大的新技术,可以增强我们了解地震目录的信息内容的能力。我们表明,目录包含有关当前危害和对大地震的未来可预测性的重要信息。

Yes. Interval statistics have been used to conclude that major earthquakes are random events in time and cannot be anticipated or predicted. Machine learning is a powerful new technique that enhances our ability to understand the information content of earthquake catalogs. We show that catalogs contain significant information on current hazard and future predictability for large earthquakes.

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