论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Quantifying effects of inhomogeneities and curvature on gravitational wave standard siren measurements of $H(z)$
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
For a flat $Λ$CDM universe, the dipole of the luminosity distance can be utilized to measure the Hubble parameter. It is here shown that this is not the case in more general settings where curvature and cosmic backreaction is permitted. This implies that a discordance between $H(z)$ measurements obtained using such dipole luminosity distance data and "true"/actual $H(z)$ data obtained from e.g. cosmic chronometers is a signal of curvature and/or cosmic backreaction. \newline\indent By considering mock future gravitational wave measurements of the Hubble parameter obtained through the dipole luminosity distance, it is shown that already a $1\%$ curvature could in principle just barely show up in the determination. However, for realistic mock data generation using models with as much as 5 \% curvature, parameter estimates do not yield reliable measures of inconsistency between the false $H(z)$ measurements and true measurements of $H(z)$. At the same time, cosmic backreaction is hard to detect even if it makes up $10\%$ of the "energy budget" in the current universe, even when considering a highly idealized situation with low errors. The results concerning backreaction are based on specific "scaling solutions" to the backreaction problem and the study shows that the possibility of detecting a signal of backreaction through the dipole of the luminosity distance depends strongly on the particular backreaction model.
