论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
A Framework for Inherently Interpretable Optimization Models
论文作者
论文摘要
随着优化软件的显着改进,几十年前似乎棘手的大规模问题的解决方案现在已成为日常任务。这将更多的现实应用程序纳入了优化器的范围。同时,解决优化问题通常是将解决方案付诸实践时较小的困难之一。一个主要的障碍是,可以将优化软件视为黑匣子,它可能会产生高质量的解决方案,但是当情况发生变化时,可以创建完全不同的解决方案,从而导致对优化解决方案的接受率低。这种可解释性和解释性问题在其他领域(例如机器学习)引起了极大的关注,但在优化方面却不那么关注。在本文中,我们提出了一个固有地带有易于解释的优化规则的优化框架,该规则在哪些情况下选择了某些解决方案。专注于决策树以表示可解释的优化规则,我们提出了整数编程公式以及一种启发式方法,即使在大规模问题上也可以确保我们的方法适用。使用随机和现实世界数据的计算实验表明,固有的可解释性成本可能很小。
With dramatic improvements in optimization software, the solution of large-scale problems that seemed intractable decades ago are now a routine task. This puts even more real-world applications into the reach of optimizers. At the same time, solving optimization problems often turns out to be one of the smaller difficulties when putting solutions into practice. One major barrier is that the optimization software can be perceived as a black box, which may produce solutions of high quality, but can create completely different solutions when circumstances change leading to low acceptance of optimized solutions. Such issues of interpretability and explainability have seen significant attention in other areas, such as machine learning, but less so in optimization. In this paper we propose an optimization framework that inherently comes with an easily interpretable optimization rule, that explains under which circumstances certain solutions are chosen. Focusing on decision trees to represent interpretable optimization rules, we propose integer programming formulations as well as a heuristic method that ensure applicability of our approach even for large-scale problems. Computational experiments using random and real-world data indicate that the costs of inherent interpretability can be very small.