论文标题
思想的故意和偶然性扩散:学术会议的证据
Intentional and serendipitous diffusion of ideas: Evidence from academic conferences
论文作者
论文摘要
本文调查了在在线易于在线访问时看到的想法的效果。演讲可能会有意增加思想的传播(当人们参加感兴趣的思想的介绍时)并偶然地(当人们看到同一会议中提出的其他想法时)。我们使用调度应用程序会议中的数据在25个计算机科学会议的背景下衡量这些效果,该数据使用户能够像感兴趣的内容一样浏览论文,并收到其演示文稿的时间表。我们通过利用调度冲突来解决演讲出勤中的内生性问题:当用户喜欢同时介绍的多个论文时,她看不到他们俩,可能会影响他们的扩散。估计表明,能够在两年内将喜欢的论文提高1.5个百分点(比基线引文率增加62.5%)。对喜欢的论文的关注也溢出了同一会议中的非喜爱论文,引用其引用点数0.5个百分点(增长125%),而这种偶然的扩散占总效应的30.5%。两种扩散类型都集中在语义上接近与会者先前工作的论文中,这表明在寻找相关研究的效率低下,会议有助于克服。总体而言,即使在线易于在线访问想法时,面对面的演示文稿也大大增加了扩散,其中大部分是偶然的。
This paper investigates the effects of seeing ideas presented in-person when they are easily accessible online. Presentations may increase the diffusion of ideas intentionally (when one attends the presentation of an idea of interest) and serendipitously (when one sees other ideas presented in the same session). We measure these effects in the context of 25 computer science conferences using data from the scheduling application Confer, which lets users browse papers, Like those of interest, and receive schedules of their presentations. We address endogeneity concerns in presentation attendance by exploiting scheduling conflicts: when a user Likes multiple papers that are presented at the same time, she cannot see them both, potentially affecting their diffusion. Estimates show that being able to see presentations increases citing of Liked papers within two years by 1.5 percentage points (62.5% boost over the baseline citation rate). Attention to Liked papers also spills over to non-Liked papers in the same session, increasing their citing by 0.5 percentage points (125% boost), and this serendipitous diffusion represents 30.5% of the total effect. Both diffusion types were concentrated among papers semantically close to an attendee's prior work, suggesting that there are inefficiencies in finding related research that conferences help overcome. Overall, even when ideas are easily accessible online, in-person presentations substantially increase diffusion, much of it serendipitous.