论文标题

Smood:飞机设计中的替代神经网络的基于平滑度的分布外检测方法

SmOOD: Smoothness-based Out-of-Distribution Detection Approach for Surrogate Neural Networks in Aircraft Design

论文作者

Braiek, Houssem Ben, Tfaily, Ali, Khomh, Foutse, Reid, Thomas, Guida, Ciro

论文摘要

飞机行业不断努力在人类的努力,计算时间和资源消耗方面寻求更有效的设计优化方法。当替代模型和最终过渡到HF模型的开关机制都得到正确校准时,混合替代优化的质量保持较高的效果,同时提供快速的设计评估。前馈神经网络(FNN)可以捕获高度非线性输入输出映射,从而为飞机绩效因素提供有效的替代物。但是,FNN通常无法概括分布(OOD)样本,这阻碍了它们在关键飞机设计优化中的采用。通过Smood,我们基于平滑度的分布检测方法,我们建议用优化的FNN替代物代码依赖模型的OOD指标,以产生具有选择性但可信度的预测的值得信赖的替代模型。与常规的不确定性接地方法不同,Smood利用了HF模拟的固有平滑性特性,可以通过揭示其可疑敏感性有效地暴露OOD,从而避免对OOD样品的过度自信不确定性估计。通过使用SMOOD,仅将高风险的OOD输入转发到HF模型以进行重新评估,从而以低开销成本获得更准确的结果。研究了三个飞机性能模型。结果表明,基于FNN的代理在预测性能方面优于其高斯流程。此外,在所有研究案例中,Smood的确覆盖了85%的实际OOD。当Smood Plus FNN替代物部署在混合替代优化设置中时,它们的错误率分别降低了34.65%和计算速度速度的降低率分别为58.36次。

Aircraft industry is constantly striving for more efficient design optimization methods in terms of human efforts, computation time, and resource consumption. Hybrid surrogate optimization maintains high results quality while providing rapid design assessments when both the surrogate model and the switch mechanism for eventually transitioning to the HF model are calibrated properly. Feedforward neural networks (FNNs) can capture highly nonlinear input-output mappings, yielding efficient surrogates for aircraft performance factors. However, FNNs often fail to generalize over the out-of-distribution (OOD) samples, which hinders their adoption in critical aircraft design optimization. Through SmOOD, our smoothness-based out-of-distribution detection approach, we propose to codesign a model-dependent OOD indicator with the optimized FNN surrogate, to produce a trustworthy surrogate model with selective but credible predictions. Unlike conventional uncertainty-grounded methods, SmOOD exploits inherent smoothness properties of the HF simulations to effectively expose OODs through revealing their suspicious sensitivities, thereby avoiding over-confident uncertainty estimates on OOD samples. By using SmOOD, only high-risk OOD inputs are forwarded to the HF model for re-evaluation, leading to more accurate results at a low overhead cost. Three aircraft performance models are investigated. Results show that FNN-based surrogates outperform their Gaussian Process counterparts in terms of predictive performance. Moreover, SmOOD does cover averagely 85% of actual OODs on all the study cases. When SmOOD plus FNN surrogates are deployed in hybrid surrogate optimization settings, they result in a decrease error rate of 34.65% and a computational speed up rate of 58.36 times, respectively.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源