论文标题
基于欧洲生态设计下采用可持续照明的基于代理的基于代理的政策评估
Empirically grounded agent-based policy evaluation of the adoption of sustainable lighting under the European Ecodesign Directive
论文作者
论文摘要
十二年前，欧盟始于生态设计指令下能量卫生的白炽灯泡的逐步逐步淘汰。在这项工作中，我们实施了基于代理的模拟，以对欧盟照明市场中的消费者行为进行建模，以解释消费者行为并探索替代政策。代理商基于消费II模型，具有基于经验市场研究的个人偏好，从过去的行动中获得经验，并在动态环境中相互互动。我们的发现表明，低水平的消费者兴趣加上对白炽灯泡的高度满意度，因此采用了能源友好的照明替代方案，并且信息活动可以部分解决这一问题。这些发现提供了对利基市场中行为和社会水平成果的个人级别驱动力的见解。因此，我们的工作展示了基于代理的政策生成和评估模型的优势。
Twelve years ago, the European Union began with the gradual phase-out of energy-inefficient incandescent light bulbs under the Ecodesign Directive. In this work, we implement an agent-based simulation to model the consumer behaviour in the EU lighting market with the goal to explain consumer behaviour and explore alternative policies. Agents are based on the Consumat II model, have individual preferences based on empirical market research, gather experience from past actions, and socially interact with each other in a dynamic environment. Our findings suggest that the adoption of energy-friendly lighting alternatives was hindered by a low level of consumer interest combined with high-enough levels of satisfaction about incandescent bulbs and that information campaigns can partially address this. These findings offer insight into both individual-level driving forces of behaviour and society-level outcomes in a niche market. With this, our work demonstrates the strengths of agent-based models for policy generation and evaluation.
