论文标题
马尔可夫说服两个国家
Markovian Persuasion with Two States
论文作者
论文摘要
本文解决了如何最好地随着时间的推移传达信息的问题，以影响代理人的信念，并在模型中以二元状态根据马尔可夫进化而发展，并采取有限的行动。我们将发件人的最佳消息策略表征为限制，因为每个周期的长度降低到零。最佳策略不是近视。根据代理商的信念，有时没有透露信息，有时代理人的信念被分为两个精心挑选的后验信仰。
This paper addresses the question of how to best communicate information over time in order to influence an agent's belief and induced actions in a model with a binary state of the world that evolves according to a Markov process, and with a finite number of actions. We characterize the sender's optimal message strategy in the limit, as the length of each period decreases to zero. The optimal strategy is not myopic. Depending on the agent's beliefs, sometimes no information is revealed, and sometimes the agent's belief is split into two well-chosen posterior beliefs.
