论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Liquid Welfare Guarantees for No-Regret Learning in Sequential Budgeted Auctions

论文作者

Fikioris, Giannis, Tardos, Éva

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

We study the liquid welfare in sequential first-price auctions with budget-limited buyers. We focus on first-price auctions, which are increasingly commonly used in many settings, and consider liquid welfare, a natural and well-studied generalization of social welfare for buyers with budgets. We use a behavioral model for the buyers, assuming a learning style guarantee: the resulting utility of each buyer is within a $γ$ factor (where $γ\ge 1$) of the utility achievable by shading her value with the same factor at each round. Under this assumption, we show a $γ+1/2+O(1/γ)$ price of anarchy for liquid welfare assuming buyers have additive valuations. This positive result is in contrast to sequential second-price auctions, where even with $γ=1$, the resulting liquid welfare can be arbitrarily smaller than the maximum liquid welfare. We prove a lower bound of $γ$ on the liquid welfare loss under the above assumption in first-price auctions, making our bound asymptotically tight. For the case when $γ= 1$ our theorem implies a price of anarchy upper bound that is about $2.41$; we show a lower bound of $2$ for that case. We also give a learning algorithm that the players can use to achieve the guarantee needed for our liquid welfare result. Our algorithm achieves utility within a $γ=O(1)$ factor of the optimal utility even when a buyer's values and the bids of the other buyers are chosen adversarially, assuming the buyer's budget grows linearly with time. The competitiveness guarantee of the learning algorithm deteriorates somewhat as the budget grows slower than linearly with time. Finally, we extend our liquid welfare results for the case where buyers have submodular valuations over the set of items they win across iterations with a slightly worse price of anarchy bound of $γ+1+O(1/γ)$ compared to the guarantee for the additive case.

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