论文标题
大伦敦的城市形式和共同的19例案件和死亡:一种城市形态计量学方法
Urban form and COVID-19 cases and deaths in Greater London: an urban morphometric approach
论文作者
论文摘要
COVID-19大流行引起了与城市密度有关的巨大争论。这是一场古老的辩论,起源于19世纪中叶的英国,出现了公共卫生和城市规划学科。虽然据普遍链接,但证据表明通常不能假设这种关系。此外,已经以空间粗糙的方式研究了城市密度(主要是在城市层面上),并且从未与其他城市形式的描述者进行背景。在这项工作中,我们在大伦敦探索了COVID-19和Urban形式,将一组全面的形态描述符(包括积累密度)与Covid-19的死亡和案件联系起来,同时控制社会经济,族裔,年龄和共同生病。我们在单个建筑水平上描述城市形式,然后为官方社区的汇总信息,从而允许详细的城市内部代表。结果表明:i)控制变量比形态计量学描述符明显地解释了COVID-19病例和死亡的差异; ii)关于后者可以解释的,构建密度确实是最相关的,尽管是成反比的。典型的伦敦社区具有高水平的共同感染和死亡,类似于郊区,其特征是较大的独立建筑物点缀的低密度城市面料,并由较差的相互连接的街头网络构成。
The COVID-19 pandemic generated a considerable debate in relation to urban density. This is an old debate, originated in mid 19th century's England with the emergence of public health and urban planning disciplines. While popularly linked, evidence suggests that such relationship cannot be generally assumed. Furthermore, urban density has been investigated in a spatially coarse manner (predominantly at city level) and never contextualised with other descriptors of urban form. In this work, we explore COVID-19 and urban form in Greater London, relating a comprehensive set of morphometric descriptors (including built-up density) to COVID-19 deaths and cases, while controlling for socioeconomic, ethnicity, age, and co-morbidity. We describe urban form at individual building level and then aggregate information for official neighbourhoods, allowing for a detailed intra-urban representation. Results show that: i) control variables significantly explain more variance of both COVID-19 cases and deaths than the morphometric descriptors; ii) of what the latter can explain, built-up density is indeed the most associated, though inversely. The typical London neighbourhood with high levels of COVID-19 infections and deaths resembles a suburb, featuring a low-density urban fabric dotted by larger free-standing buildings and framed by a poorly inter-connected street network.