论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Bayesian inference is facilitated by modular neural networks with different time scales

论文作者

Ichikawa, Kohei, Kaneko, Kunihiko

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

Various animals, including humans, have been suggested to perform Bayesian inferences to handle noisy, time-varying external information. In performing Bayesian inference, the prior distribution must be shaped by sampling noisy external inputs. However, the mechanism by which neural activities represent such distributions has not yet been elucidated. In this study, we demonstrated that the neural networks with modular structures including fast and slow modules effectively represented the prior distribution in performing accurate Bayesian inferences. Using a recurrent neural network consisting of a main module connected with input and output layers and a sub-module connected only with the main module and having slower neural activity, we demonstrated that the modular network with distinct time scales performed more accurate Bayesian inference compared with the neural networks with uniform time scales. Prior information was represented selectively by the slow sub-module, which could integrate observed signals over an appropriate period and represent input means and variances. Accordingly, the network could effectively predict the time-varying inputs. Furthermore, by training the time scales of neurons starting from networks with uniform time scales and without modular structure, the above slow-fast modular network structure spontaneously emerged as a result of learning wherein prior information was selectively represented in the slower sub-module. These results explain how the prior distribution for Bayesian inference is represented in the brain, provide insight into the relevance of modular structure with time scale hierarchy to information processing, and elucidate the significance of brain areas with slower time scales.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源