论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Saturn's Seasonal Variability from Four Decades of Ground-Based Mid-Infrared Observations

论文作者

Blake, James S. D., Fletcher, Leigh N., Orton, Glenn S., Antuñano, Arrate, Roman, Michael T., Kasaba, Yasumasa, Fujiyoshi, Takuya, Melin, Henrik, Bardet, Deborah, Sinclair, James A., Es-Sayeh, Maël

论文摘要

土星的地面中红外(7-25美元$ M)图像的多十年记录用于探索超过土星一年(1984-2022)的热排放的季节性和非季节变化。通过3-M和8-M级观测值测量的热发射与基于Cassini衍生的温度记录和辐射气候模型的预测的合成图像进行比较。 8-m类设施能够在土星带,区域,极地六角形和极性气旋的尺度上解决热对比,并叠加在大规模的季节性不对称上。由于北极和南极平流层涡流(NPSV和SPSV)形式在平流层中$ \ sim30 $ K的季节性变化和对流层上$ \ sim10 $ k的季节变化,并在秋季观察到。辐射气候模型成功地重现了温暖极性涡旋的首次出现的时机,这证实了它们是辐射现象,尽管在受动力学影响的锋利边界内夹带。轴对称热带(每个半球4-5个)显示温度梯度,与土星的纬向风密切相关,表明有强度衰减的风,并暗示形成凉爽区域和温暖皮带的子午循环细胞。除了低层次外,土星的热结构在很大程度上可以重复(通过1989年和2018年的红外图像进行比较)。在这里,我们发现了年度变化的证据,因为赤道频带在7.9 $ $ m m处与土星赤道赤道平流层振荡的$ \ sim15 $年度相矛盾,即,它并不是严格的半年度。最后,2017 - 2022年之间的观察扩大了卡西尼任务的遗产,揭示了北部夏季NPSV的持续变暖。 [abr。]

A multi-decade record of ground-based mid-infrared (7-25 $μ$m) images of Saturn is used to explore seasonal and non-seasonal variability in thermal emission over more than a Saturnian year (1984-2022). Thermal emission measured by 3-m and 8-m-class observatories compares favourably with synthetic images based on both Cassini-derived temperature records and the predictions of radiative climate models. 8-m class facilities are capable of resolving thermal contrasts on the scale of Saturn's belts, zones, polar hexagon, and polar cyclones, superimposed onto large-scale seasonal asymmetries. Seasonal changes in brightness temperatures of $\sim30$ K in the stratosphere and $\sim10$ K in the upper troposphere are observed, as the northern and southern polar stratospheric vortices (NPSV and SPSV) form in spring and dissipate in autumn. The timings of the first appearance of the warm polar vortices is successfully reproduced by radiative climate models, confirming them to be radiative phenomena, albeit entrained within sharp boundaries influenced by dynamics. Axisymmetric thermal bands (4-5 per hemisphere) display temperature gradients that are strongly correlated with Saturn's zonal winds, indicating winds that decay in strength with altitude, and implying meridional circulation cells forming the system of cool zones and warm belts. Saturn's thermal structure is largely repeatable from year to year (via comparison of infrared images in 1989 and 2018), with the exception of low-latitudes. Here we find evidence of inter-annual variations because the equatorial banding at 7.9 $μ$m is inconsistent with a $\sim15$-year period for Saturn's equatorial stratospheric oscillation, i.e., it is not strictly semi-annual. Finally, observations between 2017-2022 extend the legacy of the Cassini mission, revealing the continued warming of the NPSV during northern summer. [Abr.]

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源