论文标题
无限措施的图形模型,适用于极端
Graphical models for infinite measures with applications to extremes
论文作者
论文摘要
对条件独立性和图形模型进行了充分的研究,以在产品空间上进行概率分布。我们提出了一个新的有条件独立性的概念,即在刺穿的欧几里得空间上的任何度量$λ$ $ \ mathbb r^d \ setMinus \ {0 \} $,它会在原点爆炸。这种措施的重要性源于它们与无限划分和最大可划分的分布的联系,它们分别以莱维的措施和指数措施的形式出现。我们通过内核和修改密度的分解来表征$λ$的独立性和条件独立性,包括无向图形模型的Hammersley-Clifford类型定理。与经典的条件独立性相反,我们的概念与$λ$的支持密切相关。我们的一般理论将最新的方法统一并扩展到极值分析和莱维过程领域的图形建模。我们针对相应的无向图形模型的结果为这些领域的新统计方法奠定了基础。
Conditional independence and graphical models are well studied for probability distributions on product spaces. We propose a new notion of conditional independence for any measure $Λ$ on the punctured Euclidean space $\mathbb R^d\setminus \{0\}$ that explodes at the origin. The importance of such measures stems from their connection to infinitely divisible and max-infinitely divisible distributions, where they appear as Lévy measures and exponent measures, respectively. We characterize independence and conditional independence for $Λ$ in various ways through kernels and factorization of a modified density, including a Hammersley-Clifford type theorem for undirected graphical models. As opposed to the classical conditional independence, our notion is intimately connected to the support of the measure $Λ$. Our general theory unifies and extends recent approaches to graphical modeling in the fields of extreme value analysis and Lévy processes. Our results for the corresponding undirected and directed graphical models lay the foundation for new statistical methodology in these areas.