论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Sojourn times of Markov symmetric processes in continuous time
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
The symmetric birth and death process in the integers $\{1, \ldots, N \}$ with linear rates is studied. The process moves slowly and spends more time in the neighborhood of the state 1. It represents our attempt at explaining the asymmetry between amounts of matter and antimatter by the inhomogeneity of the sojourn time. The state of the process reflects a relative frequency of an antimatter amount. The observed matter-antimatter imbalance in the Universe we consider a result of stochastic competition between them. The amount of matter significantly exceeds the amount of antimatter, which corresponds to the lower states of the process, and the path toward matter-antimatter equilibrium can be very long.
