论文标题
对2000年至2019年期间英国经济增长的宏观经济评估
Macroeconomic evaluation of the growth of the UK economy over the period 2000 to 2019
论文作者
论文摘要
使用信息熵统计方法来评估2000年至2019年期间英国经济的增长，重点是劳动生产力对人均国内生产总值（GDP）的影响，在这段时间内，实际工资的平均增长。可以用三个不同的阶段来描述英国经济在2000年至2019年期间的增长：1）2000年至2007年 - 强劲的持续经济增长2）2008年至2013年 - 国际金融危机的影响，即即时的后果和2014年的恢复时期，2014年至2019年 - 薄弱的持续经济增长将使英国经济增长在这一时期的劳动效率上取得了年度生产率的确定性。它与人均GDP的年增长率密切相关，与2000年至2007年期间相比，2014年至2019年期间的增长率明显弱。这也与2000年至2019年期间的2000年至2019年期间的平均CPI相比，在2014年至2019年期间，2014年至2019年期间，2014年至2019年期间的年平均实际工资率较弱。预计英国经济增长将通过对提高劳动力生产率的措施进行持续投资来实现，并进一步期望劳动生产率的持续提高将增加英国人均GDP的年增长率和平均实际工资。尽管本文给出的结果是在2000年至2019年期间特定于英国的，但期望通过的方法和方法可以应用于在任何时间段内量化任何发达经济的动态。
An information entropy statistical methodology was used to evaluate the growth of the UK economy over the period 2000 to 2019, with an emphasis on the impact of labour productivity on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and the average growth in real wages, during this time period. The growth of the UK economy over the period 2000 to 2019 can be described in terms of three distinct phases: 1) 2000 to 2007 - strong sustained economic growth 2) 2008 to 2013 - the impact of the international financial crisis, its immediate aftermath, and period of recovery 3) 2014 to 2019 - weak sustained economic growth The key determinant of the UK economic performance over this period would appear to the annual rate of growth in labour productivity. It was closely related to the annual rate of growth in GDP per capita, and it was significantly weaker in the period 2014 to 2019 compared to the period 2000 to 2007. This also corresponded with a weaker rate of growth in annual average real wages over the period 2014 to 2019 compared to the period 2000 to 2007. Throughout the period 2000 to 2019, UK CPI was maintained, on average, at approximately 2.1% per annum. More rapid UK economic growth would be expected to be achieved by sustained investment in measures that enhance labour productivity, with the further expectation that a sustained improvement in labour productivity would increase the annual rate of growth of UK GDP per capita and average real wages. While the results given in this paper are specific to the UK over the time period 2000 to 2019, the expectation is that the methodology and approach adopted can be applied to quantifying the dynamics of any developed economy over any time period.
