论文标题
飓风和风暴潮对电力系统的时空影响分析
Spatiotemporal Impact Analysis of Hurricanes and Storm Surges on Power Systems
论文作者
论文摘要
本文开发了一个时空概率的影响评估框架，以分析和量化飓风和风暴潮对大量电网的复合作用。概率合成飓风轨迹是使用历史飓风数据生成的，并且基于观察到的飓风参数生成风暴浪潮场景。系统损失是使用量损失度量来建模的，该指标量量化了总负荷损失。整体模拟是对德克萨斯州地理足迹映射的合成的2000年布斯系统进行的。结果表明，由于飓风内陆遍历飓风，由于暴风雨浪涌而导致的电力变电站淹没。
This paper develops a spatiotemporal probabilistic impact assessment framework to analyze and quantify the compounding effect of hurricanes and storm surges on the bulk power grid. The probabilistic synthetic hurricane tracks are generated using historical hurricane data, and storm surge scenarios are generated based on observed hurricane parameters. The system losses are modeled using a loss metric that quantifies the total load loss. The overall simulation is performed on the synthetic Texas 2000-bus system mapped on the geographical footprint of Texas. The results show that power substation inundation due to storm surge creates additional load losses as the hurricane traverses inland.
