论文标题
转换大学橄榄球点将差异传播到概率
Converting College Football Point Spread Differentials to Probabilities
论文作者
论文摘要
对于NCAA足球，我们为体育投篮者提供了一种方法，以确定他们是否基于可用的博彩线以及他们认为游戏将如何结束的预期价值下注。我们开发的方法使用历史数据根据正常分布修改概率。结果是，更常见的点差异得到适当的权重。我们提供了一个免费的在线工具来实施我们的技术。
For NCAA football, we provide a method for sports bettors to determine if they have a positive expected value bet based on the betting lines available to them and how they believe the game will end. The method we develop modifies probabilities based on a normal distribution using historical data. The result is that more common point differentials are given appropriate weights. We provide a freely available online tool for implementing our technique.
